ISIpedia – the open Inter-Sectoral Impacts Encyclopedia

Project summary
Quantifying and understanding climate change impacts is of great importance for science and society in order to mitigate and to adapt to future extreme events like droughts and floods. The current state-of-the-art approach in quantifying climate change impacts is to use global circulation models in conjunction with impact models that allow scenario simulations for specific topics (sectors), such as: water, health, agriculture, and coastal infrastructure.
ISIpedia, the open Inter-Sectoral Impacts Encyclopedia, will be an open-access climate impacts service portal (internet platform) based on the cross-sectoral and multi-model simulations of Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project, phase 3 (ISIMIP3).

The whole project will be co-developed by scientists and stakeholders, in particular to address the needs of the end users for content and usability. Users of ISIpedia will have access to relevant input data sets, to cross-sectoral and sectoral assessments of climate change impacts, and to the uncertainty information of previous ISIMIP phases. ISIpedia will act as a hub to inform a broad range of public and private users, such as scientists, regional and national climate-adaptation-policy experts, implementation experts, decision makers, regional climate experts, students, and others. More information can be found on the project webpage.

Our contribution
The main goal is to assess the freshwater-related climate change impacts considering uncertainty and limitations of the modeling approaches. At Goethe University, the sub-project is led by Dr. Hannes Müller Schmied, who coordinates jointly with Dr. Simon Gosling (University of Nottingham) the global water modeling sector within ISIMIP.
 
In particular, the sub-project activities are:

  1. Contributing to the selection of focus topic for ISIMIP3 phase,
  2. Contributing to the sector-specific design of the ISIMIP3 simulation protocol and to the relevant input data sets (ensuring cross-sectoral consistency),
  3. Coordinating the ISIpedia core – the ISIMIP3 simulation phase,
  4. Assessing the quality of the contributing models (e.g. by using results of the ISIMIP2a phase) to inform the end users about regional uncertainty measures (model-performance indicators),
  5. Contributing to two cross-sectoral workshops and regional workshops for modellers and stakeholders,
  6. Contributing to the development of the freshwater-related climate impact emulators (one example of an emulator: http://emulator.rdcep.org/) to enable end users to gather information about possible mitigation effects,
  7. Contributing to the climate impact synthesis, e.g. for articles on the ISIpedia platform,
  8. Leading two international scientific publications (sector-specific and cross-sectoral).


Contact

Dr. Camelia Eliza Telteu
Dr. Hannes Müller Schmied (principal investigator)

Duration
September 2017 – July 2021

Funding
German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) in the framework of European Research Area for Climate Services ERA4CS

Publications

  • Cucchi, M., Weedon, G. P., Amici, A., Bellouin, N., Lange, S., Müller Schmied, H., Hersbach, H. and Buontempo, C.: WFDE5: bias-adjusted ERA5 reanalysis data for impact studies, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 12(3), 2097–2120, doi:10.5194/essd-12-2097-2020, 2020.
  • Do, H. X., Zhao, F., Westra, S., Leonard, M., Gudmundsson, L., Boulange, J. E. S., Chang, J., Ciais, P., Gerten, D., Gosling, S. N., Müller Schmied, H., Stacke, T., Telteu, C.-E. and Wada, Y.: Historical and future changes in global flood magnitude -- evidence from a model--observation investigation, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24(3), 1543–1564, doi:10.5194/hess-24-1543-2020, 2020.
  • Gudmundsson, L., Boulange, J., Do, H. X., Gosling, S. N., Grillakis, M. G., Koutroulis, A. G., Leonard, M., Liu, J., Müller Schmied, H., Papadimitriou, L., Pokhrel, Y., Seneviratne, S. I., Satoh, Y., Thiery, W., Westra, S., Zhang, X. and Zhao, F.: Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change, Science (80-. )., 371(6534), 1159–1162, doi:10.1126/science.aba3996, 2021.
  • Krysanova, V., Zaherpour, J., Didovets, I., Gosling, S. N., Gerten, D., Hanasaki, N., Müller Schmied, H., Pokhrel, Y., Satoh, Y., Tang, Q. and Wada, Y.: How evaluation of globalhydrological models can help to improve credibility of river discharge projections under climate change, Clim. Change, doi:10.1007/s10584-020-02840-0, 2020.
  • Lange, S., Volkholz, J., Geiger, T., Zhao, F., Vega, I., Veldkamp, T., Reyer, C. P. O., Warszawski, L., Huber, V., Jägermeyr, J., Schewe, J., Bresch, D. N., Büchner, M., Chang, J., Ciais, P., Dury, M., Emanuel, K., Folberth, C., Gerten, D., Gosling, S. N., Grillakis, M., Hanasaki, N., Henrot, A., Hickler, T., Honda, Y., Ito, A., Khabarov, N., Koutroulis, A., Liu, W., Müller, C., Nishina, K., Ostberg, S., Müller Schmied, H., Seneviratne, S. I., Stacke, T., Steinkamp, J., Thiery, W., Wada, Y., Willner, S., Yang, H., Yoshikawa, M., Yue, C. and Frieler, K.: Projecting Exposure to Extreme Climate Impact Events Across Six Event Categories and Three Spatial Scales, Earth’s Futur., 8(12), doi:10.1029/2020EF001616, 2020.
  • Pokhrel, Y., Felfelani, F., Satoh, Y., Boulange, J., Burek, P., Gädeke, A., Gerten, D., Gosling, S. N., Grillakis, M., Gudmundsson, L., Hanasaki, N., Kim, H., Koutroulis, A., Liu, J., Papadimitriou, L., Schewe, J., Müller Schmied, H., Stacke, T., Telteu, C.-E., Thiery, W., Veldkamp, T., Zhao, F. and Wada, Y.: Global terrestrial water storage and drought severity under climate change, Nat. Clim. Chang., 11(3), 226–233, doi:10.1038/s41558-020-00972-w, 2021.
  • Reinecke, R., Müller Schmied, H., Trautmann, T., Andersen, L. S., Burek, P., Flörke, M., Gosling, S. N., Grillakis, M., Hanasaki, N., Koutroulis, A., Pokhrel, Y., Thiery, W., Wada, Y., Yusuke, S. and Döll, P.: Uncertainty of simulated groundwater recharge at different global warming levels: a global-scale multi-model ensemble study, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25(2), 787–810, doi:10.5194/hess-25-787-2021, 2021.
  • Satoh, Y., Shiogama, H., Hanasaki, N., Pokhrel, Y., Boulange, J. E. S., Burek, P., Gosling, S. N., Grillakis, M., Koutroulis, A., Müller Schmied, H., Thiery, W. and Yokohata, T.: A quantitative evaluation of the issue of drought definition: a source of disagreement in future drought assessments, Environ. Res. Lett., 16(10), 104001, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac2348, 2021.
  • Telteu, C.-E., Müller Schmied, H., Thiery, W., Leng, G., Burek, P., Liu, X., Boulange, J. E. S., Andersen, L. S., Grillakis, M., Gosling, S. N., Satoh, Y., Rakovec, O., Stacke, T., Chang, J., Wanders, N., Shah, H. L., Trautmann, T., Mao, G., Hanasaki, N., Koutroulis, A., Pokhrel, Y., Samaniego, L., Wada, Y., Mishra, V., Liu, J., Döll, P., Zhao, F., Gädeke, A., Rabin, S. S. and Herz, F.: Understanding each other’s models: an introduction and a standard representation of 16 global water models to support intercomparison, improvement, and communication, Geosci. Model Dev., 14(6), 3843–3878, doi:10.5194/gmd-14-3843-2021, 2021.

Posters

  • Telteu, C.-E., Müller Schmied, H. Gosling, S.N., Thiery, W., Pokhrel, Y., Grillakis, M., Koutroulis, A., Wada, Y., Satoh, Y., Boulange, J., Seaby, L.PO., Stacke, T., Liu, X., Tao, F., Zhai, R., Ducharne, A., Leng, G., Burek, P., Wanders, N., Trautmann, T., Mishra, V., Schewe, J., Zhao, F., Menke, I., Shmurak, A., Koudou, A., Ahmed, A.K.: Co-design of a Water Cycle Diagram to Discover Similarities and Differences among Global Water Impact Models. AGU Fall Meeting 2019, San Francisco, 9-13 September 2019, H21O-1958, https://agu.confex.com/agu/fm19/meetingapp.cgi/Paper/498407

Presentations

  • Reinecke, R., Müller Schmied, H., and Döll, P.: Changes of groundwater recharge at different global warming levels: A global-scale multi-model ensemble approach, EGU General Assembly 2020, Online, 4–8 May 2020, EGU2020-2189, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-2189, 2020
  • Telteu, C. E. & Müller Schmied, H. (2017): Ideas for joint effort to describe the ISIMIP2b global water models by common diagram / documentation style. ISIMIP Workshop 9-10 October 2017, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany.
  • Telteu, C.-E., Müller Schmied, H., Gosling, S.N., Thiery, W., Pokhrel, Y., Grillakis, M., Koutroulis, A., Satoh, Y., Wada, Y., Boulange, J., Seaby, L.P., Stacke, T., Liu, X., Ducharne, A., Leng, G., Burek, P., Trautmann, T., Schewe, J., Zhao, F., Menke, I., Shmurak, A.: Understanding each other’s models: a standard representation of global water models to support intercomparison, development, and communication. EGU General Assembly 2019, Vienna, 7-12 April 2019, EGU2019-6212, https://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2019/EGU2019-6212-3.pdf
  • Telteu, C.-E., Müller Schmied, H., Thiery, W., Leng, G., Burek, P., Liu, X., Boulange, J. E. S., Seaby, L. P., Grillakis, M., Satoh, Y., Rakovec, O., Stacke, T., Chang, J., Wanders, N., Tao, F., Zhai, R., Shah, H. L., Trautmann, T., Mao, G., Koutroulis, A., Pokhrel, Y., Samaniego, L., Wada, Y., Mishra, V., Liu, J., Newland Gosling, S., Schewe, J., and Zhao, F.: Similarities and differences among fifteen global water models in simulating the vertical water balance, EGU General Assembly 2020, Online, 4–8 May 2020, EGU2020-7549, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-7549, 2020

Further information / social media

https://www.isipedia.org/ - web portal for climate impact assessments

https://www.isimip.org/ - main webpage of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project
https://twitter.com/ISIMIPImpacts - twitter account of ISIMIP